Russell 2000 Index (^RUT)Chicago Options
2,962.22 USD
-12.35
(-0.415%) ⇩
(July 17, 2026, 4:30 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 18, 2026, 1:06 a.m. EDT
The Russell 2000 is exhibiting classic 'topping out' behavior despite sitting near its 52-week high. Price action is churning around the 50-day average (2921) rather than breaking decisively higher, while options data screams caution. The heavy put OI walls at 2920-2940 act as a psychological and technical ceiling, suggesting that any rally above 3000 will likely trigger a swift sell-off back to the 2900 support zone. The market is overextended relative to its 200-day average and is currently trapped between strong resistance and a crowded short-side hedge setup. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.026305 |
| MSTL | 0.043921 |
| AutoETS | 0.048881 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.049629 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 59% |
| H-stat | 4.75 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.285 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.54 |
As of July 18, 2026, 1:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a downside correction, evidenced by massive put volume and Open Interest (OI) accumulation at strikes 2920, 2930, and 2940, creating a dense 'floor' wall. While call activity shows new flow into 3015 and 3045, the sheer density of put OI suggests a 'bear trap' scenario where traders are betting on a rejection of current highs. Implied Volatility (IV) has spiked significantly on deep OTM puts (e.g., 2625 strike), indicating fear of a sharp drop below 2900, while call IV remains relatively subdued despite the price being near its 52-week high.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 32.7677 |
| All Time High | 3,046.59 |
| All Time Low | 105.46 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 0 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 4,904,412,000 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 5,549,185,000 |
| Average Volume | 5,549,185,000 |
| Average Volume10Days | 4,904,412,000 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 0 |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 2,979.3237 |
| Day Low | 2,934.1218 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | WCB |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 2,921.0544 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 41.16284 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.014091775 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 32.7677 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 3,046.59 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -84.3728 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.027694177 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 2,143.43 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 818.78735 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.38199866 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 2,143.43 - 3046.59 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 558,279,000,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | Chicago Options |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Long Name | Russell 2000 Index |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_INDEXRUT |
| Open | 2,948.5837 |
| Previous Close | 2,974.57 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | INDEX |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -12.352783 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.41527963 |
| Regular Market Day High | 2,979.3237 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 2,934.1218 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 2,934.1218 - 2979.3237 |
| Regular Market Open | 2,948.5837 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 2,974.57 |
| Regular Market Price | 2,962.2173 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,784,320,213 |
| Regular Market Volume | 0 |
| Short Name | Russell 2000 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | ^RUT |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 2,652.1045 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 310.1128 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.116930835 |
| Type Disp | Index |
| Volume | 0 |