Russell 2000 Index (^RUT)Chicago Options
2,806.98 USD
+12.85
(0.460%)
⇧
(Oct. 9, 2026, 4:30 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:27 a.m. EDT
The Russell 2000 is trapped in a bearish squeeze, technically broken below its 50-day average while hovering just above the 200-day support. Despite a slight positive YTD trajectory, the index is structurally weak, trading well below its 52-week highs. The primary signal is the overwhelming options flow: speculators are building a fortress of puts around the 2700-2750 zone, indicating a high probability of a test of these lows. The market is not pricing in a recovery; it is pricing in volatility and a potential breakdown, making any bounce above the 50-day average a fragile technical illusion. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.014717 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.014768 |
| MSTL | 0.014980 |
| AutoTheta | 0.021142 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 60% |
| H-stat | 3.17 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.485 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.74 |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:27 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a downside break, evidenced by massive put volume spikes at strikes 2680-2720 across multiple expirations, creating a dense 'floor' of protection. Conversely, call activity shows significant new flow into the 2860-2940 range but is heavily capped by established OI walls at 2900, 2950, and 3000. The disparity between high put volume and lower call volume suggests a 'bearish gamma' environment where traders are hedging against a drop to the 2700s rather than betting on an immediate rally.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 14.039051 |
| All Time High | 3,069.71 |
| All Time Low | 105.46 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 0 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 5,232,749,000 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 5,057,415,781 |
| Average Volume | 5,057,415,781 |
| Average Volume10Days | 5,232,749,000 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 0 |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 2,814.006 |
| Day Low | 2,795.5413 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | WCB |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 2,931.0103 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -124.02881 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.04231606 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 14.039051 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 3,069.71 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -262.72852 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.085587405 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 2,303.46 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 503.52148 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.21859355 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 2,303.46 - 3069.71 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 558,279,000,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | Chicago Options |
| Fullday Change | 12.8515625 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 0.45994863 |
| Fullday Price | 2,806.9814 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Long Name | Russell 2000 Index |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_INDEXRUT |
| Open | 2,797.6897 |
| Previous Close | 2,794.13 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | INDEX |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 12.8515625 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.45994863 |
| Regular Market Day High | 2,814.006 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 2,795.5413 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 2,795.5413 - 2814.006 |
| Regular Market Open | 2,797.6897 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 2,794.13 |
| Regular Market Price | 2,806.9814 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,791,577,816 |
| Regular Market Volume | 0 |
| Short Name | Russell 2000 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | ^RUT |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 2,788.8748 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 18.10669 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.0064924713 |
| Type Disp | Index |
| Volume | 0 |